Thursday, January 25, 2007

CCIW Conference Tournament

While 1-5 is certainly not the start we were all hoping for in the league, I'm not quite willing to concede the #3 and 4 seeds in the 2007 CCIW conference tournament. While I think Elmhurst and Augustana are virtual locks for the top 2 seeds, after that this still seems wide open based on remaining schedules:

Augustana 6-1
Elmhurst 5-1

Wheaton 4-2 (@ NCC, vs CC, vs NPU, @ Augie, @ IWU, vs MU, @ EC, @ CC)
Carthage 3-3 (vs IWU, @ WC, vs Augie, @ EC, vs NCC, vs NPU, @ MU, vs WC)
North Park 3-4 (@ MU, vs Augie, @ WC, vs NCC, @ EC, @ CC, vs IWU)
North Central 2-4 (vs WC, @ IWU, vs MU, @ NPU, @ CC, vs EC, @ Augie, vs IWU)
Illinois Wesleyan 1-5 (@ CC, vs NCC, vs EC, @ MU, vs WC, vs AC, @ NPU, @ NCC)
Millikin 1-5 (vs NPU, @ EC, @ NCC, vs IWU, @ AC, @ WC, vs CC, vs EC)


Do a little projecting and I think you will agree with me that we have a long way to go and that seeds 3 and 4 are still very much up in the air. I think it is very reasonable to think that two teams tied at 7-7 could fill those final two spots in the tourney...or maybe an 8-6 at #3 and a tie-breaker deciding the 4th seed between two 7-7 teams.

The first tie-breaker for each spot is head-to-head play. Sweeps and getting swept are huge. Saturday, for example, IWU has a chance to secure a season sweep vs Carthage, which would give the Titans the tie breaker over Carthage.

There is a long way to go.

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